For many investors, itâs been a tough few months of navigating the marketâs choppy waters.Â
If youâve kept up with The Peak lately, you know the cost of things is up, which has led the worldâs central bankers to kick interest rate hikes into high gear. Since US inflation data shows no sign of slowing down, investors worry that hikes will get even more aggressive.Â
All that led to a very bad, no-good day for markets yesterday, so letâs unpack.Â
The (US) S&P 500 Index opened the week with major losses, officially falling into bear market territory (defined as a 20% loss from a recent high) for the first time since 2020, as investors raise their bets on aggressive Federal Reserve interest-rate increases.Â
Up next, major crypto lender Celsius halted withdrawals between accounts on its platform due to âextreme market conditions,â contributing to a broad crypto stock selloff and Bitcoin hitting an 18-month low of US$22,000 (reminder: investors ditch high-risk assets first).
- If youâre thinking, âwhatâs it to me?â Canadaâs second-largest pension fund, Caisse de DĂ©pĂŽt et Placement du QuĂ©bec (CDPQ) is an investor in Celsius, which offers absurdly high annual yields (~18%) that have led critics to call it a Ponzi scheme.
In Canada: After a selloff of ~1% on Monday, the TSX Composite Index is faring relatively (we canât emphasize this enough) well compared to its US counterparts, but down 10% from its all-time high earlier this year, which means itâs entering âcorrectionâ (not yet bear) territory.Â
Why it matters: The US central bank is expected to raise interest rates by half a percentage point (possibly more) on Wednesday, Europeâs central bank just announced its first rate hike in over a decade, and Canadaâs central bank, by all measures, is on a serious rate roll.Â
Like all of you, weâre hoping things get better instead of worse, but with central banks showing theyâll do whatever is necessary to control inflation, we canât be so sure they will. Â